An overview of our research on climate economics
A brief history of the contribution of ORDECSYS to the modeling of economic impacts of climate change policies.
Publication
in OR-Letters
F. Babonneau, A. Haurie, M. Vielle, Reaching Paris Agreement goal through carbon dioxide removal development: A compact OR model. Operations Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2022.11.002
In this publication, we propose a long-term economic growth model for three regions of the world forming coalitions in climate negotiations: the OECD, the emerging BRIC countries, and the rest of the developing world ROW.
Workshop on Dynamic Games and Applications
October 27-28, 2022
Alain Haurie was one keynote speaker at this workshop. His presentation was on
Variations on an oil and gas game model in a geostrategic climate policy context.
Publication
In Energy Policy
F. Babonneau, M. Benlahrech and A. Haurie. Transition to Zero-net Emissions for Qatar: The role of Hydrogen and Direct Air Capture, Energy Policy, 170, 113256, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113256
A bottom-up technology rich model ETEM-Qatar is used to assess different scenarios for a transition to zero- net emissions in Qatar. The key technologies involved in the transition include electric mobility, hydrogen, carbon capture and storage and direct air capture. Through numerical simulations it is shown that Qatar could (i) start immediately to foster hybrid and electric cars for mobility, (ii) develop electricity generation from solar sources, (iii) develop carbon-free hydrogen production, (iv) introduce carbon capture and storage in all industrial sectors and, (v) develop actively direct air capture with carbon capture and storage to produce emission permits to be sold on an international carbon market. In the long-term, carbon-free hydrogen exports and emission permit sales could contribute to compensate the gas exports revenue losses that are expected in a global zero-net emissions context
Publication
In Energies
S. Aliakbarisani, F. Babonneau, O. Bahn, E. Delage and A. Mashat. Energy Transition Pathways for Deep Decarbonization of the Greater Montreal Region: An Energy Optimization Framework, Energies, 15(10):3760 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15103760
More than half of the world’s population live in cities, and by 2050, it is expected that this proportion will reach almost 68%. These densely populated cities consume more than 75% of the world’s primary energy and are responsible for the emission of around 70% of anthropogenic carbon. Providing sustainable energy for the growing demand in cities requires multifaceted planning approach. In this study, we modeled the energy system of the Greater Montreal region to evaluate the impact of different environmental mitigation policies on the energy system of this region over a long-term period (2020–2050). In doing so, we have used the open-source optimization-based model called the Energy–Technology–Environment Model (ETEM). The ETEM is a long-term bottom–up energy model that provides insight into the best options for cities to procure energy, and satisfies useful demands while reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Results show that, under a deep decarbonization scenario, the transportation, commercial, and residential sectors will contribute to emission reduction by 6.9, 1.6, and 1 million ton CO2-eq in 2050, respectively, compared with their 2020 levels. This is mainly achieved by (i) replacing fossil fuel cars with electric-based vehicles in private and public transportation sectors; (ii) replacing fossil fuel furnaces with electric heat pumps to satisfy heating demand in buildings; and (iii) improving the efficiency of buildings by isolating walls and roofs.
